Durable CDR credit prices rise despite expectations of decline, study finds

A carbon removal market study indicates that biochar credit prices are expected to rise by 10% this year. (Photo: iStock)

A new study finds that prices for some durable carbon removal (CDR) credits are rising rather than falling, even as the gap between buyer and seller price expectations continues to narrow. Market participants broadly agree that long-term reliability, transparency, and strong track records are key to unlocking transactions.

What’s new in the latest CDR credit report?

Carbon market data platform CDR.fyi and OPIS, a Dow Jones company, recently released their latest report on pricing trends and market dynamics for durable CDR credits. This marks the second consecutive year of collaboration, with the report expanding beyond price tracking to examine supply-demand frictions and structural barriers in the market.

Unlock the full article to explore three key takeaways:

1. Biochar credits are expected to rise 10% in 2026; DACCS 11%; BECCS prices could double.
2. Buyer-seller price spread: from USD 107/tonne in 2025 to USD 98 in 2026, signaling gradual convergence.
3. The "holy grail" threshold of USD 100/tonne CDR credits remains out of reach in the near term, per both buyers and sellers.